Heat measures attention, not merit.

Most sites show you the market's state. Heat measures the market's behavior: a 0 to 100 score of how abnormal an asset's last 24 hours were versus its own recent pattern, with every alarm resolved into a public track record. Documented precisely enough to trust, vaguely enough that you can't clone it.

01 · The model

Self-relative anomaly detection

Two inputs per snapshot: 24-hour volume and absolute 24-hour move. Each is converted to a z-score against that asset's own trailing 30-day baseline, clamped at four sigma so a single insane print can't pin the scale, then combined in a volume-weighted blend and normalized to 0-100. The exact weights are proprietary; the design principle is not: a quiet asset waking up beats a loud asset doing what it always does. Assets get no score until 14 days of baseline exist, because a z-score on three days of data is an opinion.

02 · The record

Events open, cool, and resolve in public

Heat above 70 opens an event and freezes the price. Hysteresis closes it: heat must fall below a cooler band and stay there across consecutive readings, so one surge produces one event, not a dozen flickers. Every event then resolves at +24h, +7d, and +30d as the forward return from the frozen open price, computed from our own stored history so nothing can drift after the fact.

OPEN 70CLOSE BANDEVENT OPENSCOOLS+24H+7D+30DRECEIPTS PRINTILLUSTRATIVE
03 · Why this is different

Falsifiable by design

Attention metrics are everywhere; accountable ones are not. Trending lists reshuffle and leave no trace of whether the trend paid. Every Heat alarm here becomes a permanent receipt, wins and losses alike, which means the model's value is checkable by anyone at any time. Attention frequently precedes drawdowns. The receipts page will show that without apology.

05 · The name

Heat means the same thing in both worlds

In streetwear, heat is the piece everyone wants: the drop that moves. In markets, heat is where money is crowding right now. Same word, same phenomenon, measured the same way: by how far behavior departs from baseline. Tickerz sits exactly on that overlap, a data product and a clothing label describing one thing: attention.

06 · The desk

Who is behind this

Tickerz is built by a former equity analyst turned consultant, an incoming MBA candidate at NYU Stern, operating from South Florida. The methodology reflects that background: measurement over narrative, a permanent track record over marketing claims, and a refusal to publish a score we would not stand behind at a real desk. Questions and challenges to the method are welcome: @tickerz.

07 · Boundaries

What Heat is not

Not a prediction, not a buy signal, not an endorsement, not financial advice. Coverage is the top 100 crypto assets by market cap, refreshed every 15 minutes from CoinGecko; when the feed halts, the board says HALTED instead of dressing stale data as fresh. The site records what happened. You supply the opinions.

And if one of those opinions deserves thread on fabric: the shop ↗